Humanoid robots market leader by end of 2026?

$4,892,331 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Tesla (Optimus)

$1,284,905 Vol.

42%

Boston Dynamics (Atlas)

$892,447 Vol.

28%

Figure AI (Figure 02)

$745,223 Vol.

18%

Agility Robotics (Digit)

$523,881 Vol.

9%

Apptronik (Apollo)

$389,267 Vol.

6%

Other/None

$312,558 Vol.

3%

Rules

This market will resolve to the company with the most deployed humanoid robots (operational units in real-world environments, not prototypes) by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Created At: Jan 4, 2026, 9:09 PM GMT+3

Volume

$1,749,827

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Jan 4, 2026, 9:09 PM GMT+3

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Holders

Beware of external links.

$1,749,828 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Humanoid robots market leader by end of 2026?

Connect to view

xxxxxxxxxxxxxx

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Tesla (Optimus)

$1,284,905 Vol.

42%

Boston Dynamics (Atlas)

$892,447 Vol.

28%

Figure AI (Figure 02)

$745,223 Vol.

18%

Agility Robotics (Digit)

$523,881 Vol.

Apptronik (Apollo)

$389,267 Vol.

Other/None

$312,558 Vol.

About

Volume

$1,749,828

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Jan 4, 2026, 9:09 PM GMT+3

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Tesla Optimus available for consumer purchase by June 30, 2026?

Waymo autonomous vehicle fleet doubles in size by Dec 2026?

67%

Commercial humanoid robot for home use ships to 1000+ customers in 2026?

23%

Beware of external links.

Holders

Beware of external links.

Humanoid robots market leader by end of 2026?

Connect to view

Tesla (Optimus)

$1,284,905 Vol.

42%

Boston Dynamics (Atlas)

$892,447 Vol.

28%

Figure AI (Figure 02)

$745,223 Vol.

18%

Agility Robotics (Digit)

$523,881 Vol.

9%

Apptronik (Apollo)

$389,267 Vol.

6%

Other/None

$312,558 Vol.

3%

Market Context